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Red156
413151.8
448838.8
142548.6
Blue167
406138.9
131864.8
491539.1
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12013150100150200156167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4131
#31
51.82.8
41.944.7
Auto13.2
Teleop30.9
End7.3
blue by 13.0
64.82.4
56.058.3
Auto16.1
Teleop39.2
End7.9
Second
1425
#22
48.62.8
43.846.6
Auto15.0
Teleop24.7
End7.8
red by 9.4
4915
#38
39.12.4
35.037.4
Auto9.7
Teleop19.7
End10.1
Third
4488
#42
38.82.8
28.331.1
Auto7.0
Teleop24.1
End7.7
blue by 0.1
4061
#17
38.92.4
30.432.8
Auto9.3
Teleop23.3
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
21%Sustainability oddsEarned19%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
64%Activation oddsEarned96%Activation oddsEarned