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Red169
281152.2
291074.4
48851.7
Blue114
189942.2
903626.3
177847.3
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18590050150200250169114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.40.2
72.172.3
Auto19.6
Teleop41.1
End10.4
red by 27.2
1778
#12
47.30.8
36.837.7
Auto13.1
Teleop27.1
End7.5
Second
2811
#20
52.20.2
49.049.1
Auto14.9
Teleop28.5
End8.4
red by 10.0
1899
#14
42.20.8
35.536.3
Auto11.0
Teleop24.3
End6.7
Third
488
#7
51.70.2
46.847.0
Auto14.1
Teleop27.1
End9.7
red by 25.4
9036
#30
26.30.8
24.425.2
Auto7.4
Teleop13.0
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
95%Sustainability oddsEarned14%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
92%Activation oddsEarned75%Activation oddsEarned