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Red146
762752.8
293059.7
49249.9
Blue156
853236.9
366357.8
307038.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15512750100200250146156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2930
#16
59.70.3
51.051.3
Auto15.7
Teleop35.6
End7.5
red by 1.9
57.81.4
55.056.4
Auto14.9
Teleop34.3
End8.4
Second
7627
#35
52.80.3
52.252.5
Auto13.7
Teleop29.1
End9.3
red by 14.5
3070
#37
38.31.4
36.037.4
Auto10.3
Teleop18.3
End9.7
Third
492
#41
49.90.3
42.642.9
Auto13.7
Teleop29.7
End6.1
red by 13.1
8532
#32
36.91.4
31.833.2
Auto11.4
Teleop21.3
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
73%Sustainability oddsEarned23%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
94%Activation oddsMissed86%Activation oddsEarned