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Red136
298027.4
75333.6
154048.6
Blue141
214752.7
94846.1
367442.8
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96141050200250136141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1540
#23
48.61.6
45.847.3
Auto13.5
Teleop26.2
End8.6
blue by 4.1
2147
#26
52.70.7
48.649.2
Auto12.5
Teleop31.8
End7.9
Second
753
#34
33.61.6
28.730.2
Auto9.6
Teleop17.9
End6.0
blue by 12.6
948
#13
46.10.7
40.040.6
Auto13.7
Teleop25.8
End6.7
Third
2980
#50
27.41.6
21.322.9
Auto8.3
Teleop11.6
End7.7
blue by 15.4
3674
#33
42.80.7
37.738.3
Auto12.1
Teleop21.8
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
16%Sustainability oddsEarned39%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
48%Activation oddsMissed83%Activation oddsEarned