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Red149
252164.7
36050.5
491839.2
Blue107
412523.7
198344.0
446941.3
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1469750200149107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.70.9
58.158.9
Auto15.2
Teleop37.8
End10.2
red by 20.6
1983
#10
44.00.7
40.441.1
Auto14.0
Teleop22.0
End7.9
Second
360
#8
50.50.9
46.147.0
Auto14.4
Teleop28.1
End7.7
red by 9.3
4469
#46
41.30.7
39.039.7
Auto13.3
Teleop23.4
End3.9
Third
4918
#28
39.20.9
26.827.7
Auto13.0
Teleop17.2
End9.3
red by 15.5
4125
#47
23.70.7
17.418.1
Auto8.2
Teleop11.9
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
72%Sustainability oddsEarned27%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
94%Activation oddsEarned51%Activation oddsEarned