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Red116
468249.6
321858.4
683125.5
Blue159
281152.2
406138.9
413151.8
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11313850100150200250116159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.40.5
52.052.5
Auto14.8
Teleop33.1
End9.8
red by 6.1
2811
#20
52.21.4
49.150.5
Auto14.9
Teleop28.5
End8.4
Second
49.60.5
35.235.6
Auto15.3
Teleop26.7
End7.3
blue by 2.2
4131
#31
51.81.4
44.746.1
Auto13.2
Teleop30.9
End7.3
Third
6831
#48
25.50.5
22.022.5
Auto8.2
Teleop10.3
End7.2
blue by 13.4
4061
#17
38.91.4
32.834.1
Auto9.3
Teleop23.3
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
17%Sustainability oddsEarned29%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
86%Activation oddsMissed87%Activation oddsMissed