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Red104
491539.1
413151.8
247141.5
Blue146
177847.3
363652.8
198344.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions131129110120140150104146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4131
#31
51.81.2
43.241.9
Auto13.2
Teleop30.9
End7.3
blue by 1.0
3636
#21
52.81.7
48.149.8
Auto10.7
Teleop31.8
End9.0
Second
2471
#39
41.51.2
43.342.1
Auto7.0
Teleop23.9
End10.2
blue by 5.8
1778
#12
47.31.7
35.236.8
Auto13.1
Teleop27.1
End7.5
Third
4915
#38
39.11.2
36.235.0
Auto9.7
Teleop19.7
End10.1
blue by 4.9
1983
#10
44.01.7
37.739.4
Auto14.0
Teleop22.0
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
18%Sustainability oddsEarned31%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
91%Activation oddsEarned84%Activation oddsEarned