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Red129
36050.5
48851.7
406138.9
Blue104
299048.9
448838.8
703444.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12813180100120140160180129104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
488
#7
51.70.5
46.346.8
Auto14.1
Teleop27.1
End9.7
red by 2.8
2990
#18
48.91.3
51.049.8
Auto13.2
Teleop26.7
End8.4
Second
360
#8
50.50.5
44.745.2
Auto14.4
Teleop28.1
End7.7
red by 6.6
7034
#25
44.01.3
42.341.0
Auto11.5
Teleop24.9
End7.1
Third
4061
#17
38.90.5
29.830.4
Auto9.3
Teleop23.3
End6.5
red by 0.1
4488
#42
38.81.3
29.628.3
Auto7.0
Teleop24.1
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
33%Sustainability oddsEarned43%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
89%Activation oddsEarned55%Activation oddsEarned