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Red138
491839.2
95556.7
446941.3
Blue142
75333.6
293059.7
367442.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11612650100150200138142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
955
#5
56.71.9
42.544.3
Auto15.6
Teleop33.0
End7.3
blue by 3.0
2930
#16
59.71.4
51.352.7
Auto15.7
Teleop35.6
End7.5
Second
4469
#46
41.31.9
39.741.6
Auto13.3
Teleop23.4
End3.9
blue by 1.5
3674
#33
42.81.4
38.339.7
Auto12.1
Teleop21.8
End8.4
Third
4918
#28
39.21.9
27.729.6
Auto13.0
Teleop17.2
End9.3
red by 5.6
753
#34
33.61.4
30.231.6
Auto9.6
Teleop17.9
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
25%Sustainability oddsEarned50%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
72%Activation oddsEarned61%Activation oddsEarned