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Red117
491144.5
582728.2
363652.8
Blue129
129422.8
252164.7
592033.0
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12812280100140160117129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3636
#21
52.80.2
51.751.6
Auto10.7
Teleop31.8
End9.0
blue by 11.8
64.70.3
58.959.2
Auto15.2
Teleop37.8
End10.2
Second
4911
#40
44.50.2
39.639.4
Auto10.6
Teleop25.0
End9.0
red by 11.4
5920
#45
33.00.3
32.632.9
Auto6.5
Teleop19.8
End6.9
Third
5827
#44
28.20.2
28.228.1
Auto8.7
Teleop12.9
End6.8
red by 5.5
1294
#49
22.80.3
23.523.8
Auto5.5
Teleop11.4
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
42%Sustainability oddsEarned44%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
87%Activation oddsMissed86%Activation oddsMissed