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Red162
189942.2
406138.9
321858.4
Blue152
95556.7
307038.3
762752.8
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13314350100200250162152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.42.4
51.353.7
Auto14.8
Teleop33.1
End9.8
red by 1.7
955
#5
56.70.3
46.446.7
Auto15.6
Teleop33.0
End7.3
Second
1899
#14
42.22.4
38.440.8
Auto11.0
Teleop24.3
End6.7
blue by 10.6
7627
#35
52.80.3
51.251.5
Auto13.7
Teleop29.1
End9.3
Third
4061
#17
38.92.4
36.238.6
Auto9.3
Teleop23.3
End6.5
red by 0.6
3070
#37
38.30.3
37.938.2
Auto10.3
Teleop18.3
End9.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
42%Sustainability oddsEarned58%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
89%Activation oddsEarned92%Activation oddsEarned