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Red128
36050.5
491539.1
546832.0
Blue95
154048.6
204666.6
491839.2
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1221615010015020025012895

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
360
#8
50.50.6
47.047.6
Auto14.4
Teleop28.1
End7.7
blue by 16.1
2046
#27
66.63.4
66.362.9
Auto16.7
Teleop39.7
End8.0
Second
4915
#38
39.10.6
36.437.0
Auto9.7
Teleop19.7
End10.1
blue by 9.5
1540
#23
48.63.4
49.045.6
Auto13.5
Teleop26.2
End8.6
Third
5468
#43
32.00.6
35.636.2
Auto11.9
Teleop14.7
End5.5
blue by 7.2
4918
#28
39.23.4
32.228.8
Auto13.0
Teleop17.2
End9.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
65%Sustainability oddsEarned84%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
91%Activation oddsEarned97%Activation oddsEarned