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Red105
198344.0
703444.0
75333.6
Blue143
293059.7
129422.8
131864.8
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11615150100200250105143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1983
#10
44.00.6
41.340.8
Auto14.0
Teleop22.0
End7.9
blue by 20.8
64.80.4
61.461.8
Auto16.1
Teleop39.2
End7.9
Second
7034
#25
44.00.6
40.840.2
Auto11.5
Teleop24.9
End7.1
blue by 15.7
2930
#16
59.70.4
56.156.5
Auto15.7
Teleop35.6
End7.5
Third
753
#34
33.60.6
31.530.9
Auto9.6
Teleop17.9
End6.0
red by 10.8
1294
#49
22.80.4
23.824.1
Auto5.5
Teleop11.4
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
67%Sustainability oddsMissed66%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
69%Activation oddsEarned93%Activation oddsEarned