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Red102
491539.1
363652.8
94846.1
Blue196
214752.7
291074.4
36050.5
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions135181100150200102196

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3636
#21
52.82.4
52.149.7
Auto10.7
Teleop31.8
End9.0
blue by 21.6
74.41.8
72.974.7
Auto19.6
Teleop41.1
End10.4
Second
948
#13
46.12.4
43.641.2
Auto13.7
Teleop25.8
End6.7
blue by 6.6
2147
#26
52.71.8
50.151.8
Auto12.5
Teleop31.8
End7.9
Third
4915
#38
39.12.4
37.034.6
Auto9.7
Teleop19.7
End10.1
blue by 11.4
360
#8
50.51.8
47.649.4
Auto14.4
Teleop28.1
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
55%Sustainability oddsMissed99%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
87%Activation oddsEarned89%Activation oddsEarned