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Red150
198344.0
491144.5
154048.6
Blue154
406138.9
468249.6
255729.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions137113050150200250300150154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1540
#23
48.61.6
45.647.3
Auto13.5
Teleop26.2
End8.6
blue by 1.0
49.61.1
41.042.1
Auto15.3
Teleop26.7
End7.3
Second
4911
#40DQ
44.51.6
39.140.7
Auto10.6
Teleop25.0
End9.0
red by 5.6
4061
#17
38.91.1
38.639.7
Auto9.3
Teleop23.3
End6.5
Third
1983
#10
44.01.6
40.842.4
Auto14.0
Teleop22.0
End7.9
red by 14.9
2557
#29
29.21.1
29.330.4
Auto7.6
Teleop15.1
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
67%Sustainability oddsEarned39%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
96%Activation oddsEarned68%Activation oddsEarned