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Red112
298027.4
363652.8
307038.3
Blue146
75333.6
683125.5
204666.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11712802004006008001,0001,2001,400112146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3636
#21
52.80.0
49.749.8
Auto10.7
Teleop31.8
End9.0
blue by 13.8
2046
#27
66.61.8
64.366.1
Auto16.7
Teleop39.7
End8.0
Second
3070
#37
38.30.0
38.138.2
Auto10.3
Teleop18.3
End9.7
red by 4.7
753
#34
33.61.8
30.932.7
Auto9.6
Teleop17.9
End6.0
Third
2980
#50
27.40.0
23.423.5
Auto8.3
Teleop11.6
End7.7
red by 1.8
6831
#48
25.51.8
25.427.2
Auto8.2
Teleop10.3
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
25%Sustainability oddsMissed79%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
82%Activation oddsEarned72%Activation oddsEarned