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Red167
293059.7
299048.9
214752.7
Blue181
321858.4
592033.0
291074.4
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions166166140150160170180190200167181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2930
#16
59.70.8
56.257.1
Auto15.7
Teleop35.6
End7.5
blue by 14.7
74.40.9
74.775.6
Auto19.6
Teleop41.1
End10.4
Second
2147
#26
52.70.8
51.852.7
Auto12.5
Teleop31.8
End7.9
blue by 5.7
58.40.9
53.654.6
Auto14.8
Teleop33.1
End9.8
Third
2990
#18
48.90.8
50.251.0
Auto13.2
Teleop26.7
End8.4
red by 15.9
5920
#45
33.00.9
33.634.5
Auto6.5
Teleop19.8
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
93%Sustainability oddsEarned96%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
89%Activation oddsEarned86%Activation oddsEarned