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Red138
177847.3
255729.2
367442.8
Blue105
36050.5
746155.2
582728.2
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11214450100200138105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1778
#12
47.31.9
40.442.3
Auto13.1
Teleop27.1
End7.5
blue by 7.9
7461
#19
55.22.1
52.850.7
Auto15.2
Teleop32.4
End6.0
Second
3674
#33
42.81.9
38.540.4
Auto12.1
Teleop21.8
End8.4
blue by 7.7
360
#8
50.52.1
49.447.3
Auto14.4
Teleop28.1
End7.7
Third
2557
#29
29.21.9
30.432.3
Auto7.6
Teleop15.1
End6.4
red by 0.9
5827
#44
28.22.1
29.026.9
Auto8.7
Teleop12.9
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
31%Sustainability oddsEarned92%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
79%Activation oddsEarned74%Activation oddsMissed