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Red155
142548.6
95556.7
281152.2
Blue138
448838.8
491839.2
468249.6
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16210950150200155138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
955
#5
56.70.3
49.750.0
Auto15.6
Teleop33.0
End7.3
red by 7.0
49.62.0
42.144.0
Auto15.3
Teleop26.7
End7.3
Second
2811
#20
52.20.3
50.951.2
Auto14.9
Teleop28.5
End8.4
red by 13.0
4918
#28
39.22.0
31.533.5
Auto13.0
Teleop17.2
End9.3
Third
1425
#22
48.60.3
47.748.0
Auto15.0
Teleop24.7
End7.8
red by 9.8
4488
#42
38.82.0
34.936.9
Auto7.0
Teleop24.1
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
87%Sustainability oddsEarned40%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
91%Activation oddsEarned74%Activation oddsEarned