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Red86
406138.9
129422.8
446941.3
Blue166
412523.7
291074.4
154048.6
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1001595020025086166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4469
#46
41.31.0
41.640.6
Auto13.3
Teleop23.4
End3.9
blue by 33.2
74.41.6
75.877.4
Auto19.6
Teleop41.1
End10.4
Second
4061
#17
38.91.0
38.237.2
Auto9.3
Teleop23.3
End6.5
blue by 9.7
1540
#23
48.61.6
45.747.3
Auto13.5
Teleop26.2
End8.6
Third
1294
#49
22.81.0
21.620.6
Auto5.5
Teleop11.4
End5.9
blue by 1.0
4125
#47
23.71.6
23.124.7
Auto8.2
Teleop11.9
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
36%Sustainability oddsMissed94%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
40%Activation oddsEarned84%Activation oddsEarned