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Red141
307038.3
491539.1
49249.9
Blue146
582728.2
367442.8
252164.7
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12613950100150200250141146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
492
#41
49.91.4
47.548.9
Auto13.7
Teleop29.7
End6.1
blue by 14.7
64.71.1
62.063.1
Auto15.2
Teleop37.8
End10.2
Second
4915
#38
39.11.4
35.136.6
Auto9.7
Teleop19.7
End10.1
blue by 3.7
3674
#33
42.81.1
40.441.5
Auto12.1
Teleop21.8
End8.4
Third
3070
#37
38.31.4
36.938.4
Auto10.3
Teleop18.3
End9.7
red by 10.1
5827
#44
28.21.1
26.928.0
Auto8.7
Teleop12.9
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
48%Sustainability oddsEarned84%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
91%Activation oddsEarned80%Activation oddsEarned