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Red166
371143.3
49249.9
363652.8
Blue180
131864.8
95556.7
298027.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14114450100200250166180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3636
#21
52.82.2
47.249.4
Auto10.7
Teleop31.8
End9.0
blue by 12.0
64.82.3
62.064.4
Auto16.1
Teleop39.2
End7.9
Second
492
#41
49.92.2
48.150.3
Auto13.7
Teleop29.7
End6.1
blue by 6.8
955
#5
56.72.3
51.253.5
Auto15.6
Teleop33.0
End7.3
Third
3711
#15
43.32.2
41.443.6
Auto12.3
Teleop22.1
End8.3
red by 15.9
2980
#50
27.42.3
23.726.0
Auto8.3
Teleop11.6
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
82%Sustainability oddsEarned75%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
77%Activation oddsEarned88%Activation oddsEarned