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Red139
413151.8
491839.2
129422.8
Blue150
291074.4
853236.9
299048.9
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10418250150200250139150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4131
#31
51.81.4
49.551.0
Auto13.2
Teleop30.9
End7.3
blue by 22.6
74.43.0
78.275.2
Auto19.6
Teleop41.1
End10.4
Second
4918
#28
39.21.4
36.037.5
Auto13.0
Teleop17.2
End9.3
blue by 9.7
2990
#18
48.93.0
50.747.7
Auto13.2
Teleop26.7
End8.4
Third
1294
#49
22.81.4
21.723.2
Auto5.5
Teleop11.4
End5.9
blue by 14.1
8532
#32
36.93.0
40.437.4
Auto11.4
Teleop21.3
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
39%Sustainability oddsEarned98%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
81%Activation oddsEarned76%Activation oddsEarned