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Red142
154048.6
36050.5
592033.0
Blue93
247141.5
903626.3
142548.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13613010012016018014293

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
360
#8
50.50.7
48.849.4
Auto14.4
Teleop28.1
End7.7
red by 2.0
1425
#22
48.62.0
50.848.8
Auto15.0
Teleop24.7
End7.8
Second
1540
#23
48.60.7
46.547.1
Auto13.5
Teleop26.2
End8.6
red by 7.1
2471
#39
41.52.0
43.441.4
Auto7.0
Teleop23.9
End10.2
Third
5920
#45
33.00.7
32.032.6
Auto6.5
Teleop19.8
End6.9
red by 6.8
9036
#30
26.32.0
28.726.7
Auto7.4
Teleop13.0
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
83%Sustainability oddsEarned74%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
79%Activation oddsEarned88%Activation oddsEarned