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Red155
48851.7
644341.3
703444.0
Blue149
367442.8
446941.3
204666.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13415350100200250155149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
488
#7
51.71.8
47.249.0
Auto14.1
Teleop27.1
End9.7
blue by 14.9
2046
#27
66.60.5
66.166.6
Auto16.7
Teleop39.7
End8.0
Second
7034
#25
44.01.8
41.543.4
Auto11.5
Teleop24.9
End7.1
red by 1.2
3674
#33
42.80.5
42.242.8
Auto12.1
Teleop21.8
End8.4
Third
6443
#24
41.31.8
39.541.3
Auto13.3
Teleop24.6
End3.1
Level
4469
#46
41.30.5
39.439.9
Auto13.3
Teleop23.4
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
64%Sustainability oddsEarned90%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
75%Activation oddsEarned88%Activation oddsEarned