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Red140
247141.5
281152.2
367442.8
Blue143
703444.0
255729.2
131864.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions143142120130140150160140143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2811
#20
52.20.0
52.252.2
Auto14.9
Teleop28.5
End8.4
blue by 12.6
64.80.6
64.465.0
Auto16.1
Teleop39.2
End7.9
Second
3674
#33
42.80.0
42.842.8
Auto12.1
Teleop21.8
End8.4
blue by 1.2
7034
#25
44.00.6
43.444.0
Auto11.5
Teleop24.9
End7.1
Third
2471
#39
41.50.0
41.441.5
Auto7.0
Teleop23.9
End10.2
red by 12.3
2557
#29
29.20.6
28.629.2
Auto7.6
Teleop15.1
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
66%Sustainability oddsEarned67%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
96%Activation oddsEarned94%Activation oddsEarned