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Red116
546832.0
683125.5
291074.4
Blue162
95556.7
491144.5
36050.5
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14215650100200250116162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.41.3
75.273.9
Auto19.6
Teleop41.1
End10.4
red by 17.7
955
#5
56.71.2
53.554.7
Auto15.6
Teleop33.0
End7.3
Second
5468
#43
32.01.3
33.332.0
Auto11.9
Teleop14.7
End5.5
blue by 18.5
360
#8
50.51.2
49.450.6
Auto14.4
Teleop28.1
End7.7
Third
6831
#48
25.51.3
26.825.5
Auto8.2
Teleop10.3
End7.2
blue by 18.9
4911
#40
44.51.2
43.344.5
Auto10.6
Teleop25.0
End9.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
92%Sustainability oddsEarned95%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
79%Activation oddsMissed87%Activation oddsEarned