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Red181
36050.5
177847.3
321858.4
Blue188
204666.6
291074.4
198344.0
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16019250100250181188

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.40.6
57.858.4
Auto14.8
Teleop33.1
End9.8
blue by 16.1
74.40.3
74.074.2
Auto19.6
Teleop41.1
End10.4
Second
360
#8
50.50.6
49.950.5
Auto14.4
Teleop28.1
End7.7
blue by 16.1
2046
#27
66.60.3
66.166.4
Auto16.7
Teleop39.7
End8.0
Third
1778
#12
47.30.6
46.747.3
Auto13.1
Teleop27.1
End7.5
red by 3.3
1983
#10
44.00.3
43.643.9
Auto14.0
Teleop22.0
End7.9