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Red177
363652.8
95556.7
241249.8
Blue183
468249.6
154048.6
142548.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions163151100120140180200220177183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
955
#5
56.70.5
56.056.4
Auto15.6
Teleop33.0
End7.3
red by 7.0
49.60.9
49.550.4
Auto15.3
Teleop26.7
End7.3
Second
3636
#21
52.80.5
52.152.5
Auto10.7
Teleop31.8
End9.0
red by 4.2
1540
#23
48.60.9
48.549.3
Auto13.5
Teleop26.2
End8.6
Third
2412
#11
49.80.5
49.149.5
Auto12.4
Teleop29.1
End7.3
red by 1.2
1425
#22
48.60.9
48.449.3
Auto15.0
Teleop24.7
End7.8