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Red147
746155.2
491539.1
366357.8
Blue156
321858.4
177847.3
36050.5
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions162165140150170180190147156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.80.1
57.957.8
Auto14.9
Teleop34.3
End8.4
blue by 0.6
58.40.0
57.757.8
Auto14.8
Teleop33.1
End9.8
Second
7461
#19
55.20.1
55.355.2
Auto15.2
Teleop32.4
End6.0
red by 4.7
360
#8
50.50.0
49.949.9
Auto14.4
Teleop28.1
End7.7
Third
4915
#38
39.10.1
39.339.1
Auto9.7
Teleop19.7
End10.1
blue by 8.1
1778
#12
47.30.0
46.746.7
Auto13.1
Teleop27.1
End7.5