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Red196
198344.0
291074.4
204666.6
Blue172
214752.7
299048.9
48851.7
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions192155100250196172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.40.2
73.874.0
Auto19.6
Teleop41.1
End10.4
red by 21.7
2147
#26
52.70.4
52.352.7
Auto12.5
Teleop31.8
End7.9
Second
2046
#27
66.60.2
66.066.1
Auto16.7
Teleop39.7
End8.0
red by 14.9
488
#7
51.70.4
51.351.7
Auto14.1
Teleop27.1
End9.7
Third
1983
#10
44.00.2
43.443.6
Auto14.0
Teleop22.0
End7.9
blue by 4.9
2990
#18
48.90.4
48.548.9
Auto13.2
Teleop26.7
End8.4