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Red0
746155.2
491539.1
366357.8
Blue172
468249.6
154048.6
142548.6
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1621510501002000172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3663
#2DQ
57.80.6
57.357.9
Auto14.9
Teleop34.3
End8.4
red by 8.2
49.60.1
49.349.5
Auto15.3
Teleop26.7
End7.3
Second
7461
#19DQ
55.20.6
54.755.3
Auto15.2
Teleop32.4
End6.0
red by 6.6
1540
#23
48.60.1
48.348.5
Auto13.5
Teleop26.2
End8.6
Third
4915
#38DQ
39.10.6
38.639.3
Auto9.7
Teleop19.7
End10.1
blue by 9.4
1425
#22
48.60.1
48.348.4
Auto15.0
Teleop24.7
End7.8