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Red177
198344.0
291074.4
204666.6
Blue184
241249.8
95556.7
363652.8
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions193154100250177184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.40.3
74.073.8
Auto19.6
Teleop41.1
End10.4
red by 17.7
955
#5
56.70.8
55.256.0
Auto15.6
Teleop33.0
End7.3
Second
2046
#27
66.60.3
66.266.0
Auto16.7
Teleop39.7
End8.0
red by 13.8
3636
#21
52.80.8
51.352.1
Auto10.7
Teleop31.8
End9.0
Third
1983
#10
44.00.3
43.743.4
Auto14.0
Teleop22.0
End7.9
blue by 5.8
2412
#11
49.80.8
48.349.1
Auto12.4
Teleop29.1
End7.3