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Red181
48851.7
299048.9
214752.7
Blue173
131864.8
293059.7
189942.2
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions155173100200250181173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2147
#26
52.70.7
51.652.3
Auto12.5
Teleop31.8
End7.9
blue by 12.1
64.80.3
64.564.8
Auto16.1
Teleop39.2
End7.9
Second
488
#7
51.70.7
50.651.3
Auto14.1
Teleop27.1
End9.7
blue by 8.0
2930
#16
59.70.3
59.459.7
Auto15.7
Teleop35.6
End7.5
Third
2990
#18
48.90.7
47.848.5
Auto13.2
Teleop26.7
End8.4
red by 6.7
1899
#14
42.20.3
41.942.2
Auto11.0
Teleop24.3
End6.7