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Red183
94846.1
291074.4
204666.6
Blue106
321858.4
177847.3
36050.5
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions194163120140180220240260183106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.40.1
73.974.0
Auto19.6
Teleop41.1
End10.4
red by 16.1
58.41.1
58.457.3
Auto14.8
Teleop33.1
End9.8
Second
2046
#27
66.60.1
66.166.2
Auto16.7
Teleop39.7
End8.0
red by 16.1
360
#8
50.51.1
50.649.5
Auto14.4
Teleop28.1
End7.7
Third
948
#13
46.10.1
46.046.1
Auto13.7
Teleop25.8
End6.7
blue by 1.1
1778
#12
47.31.1
47.346.2
Auto13.1
Teleop27.1
End7.5