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Red139
252242.1
413151.8
252164.7
Blue170
241249.8
95556.7
363652.8
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions168156100120140180200220139170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.70.4
64.764.3
Auto15.2
Teleop37.8
End10.2
red by 8.0
955
#5
56.70.5
54.755.2
Auto15.6
Teleop33.0
End7.3
Second
4131
#31
51.80.4
51.851.4
Auto13.2
Teleop30.9
End7.3
blue by 1.0
3636
#21
52.80.5
50.851.3
Auto10.7
Teleop31.8
End9.0
Third
2522
#36
42.10.4
42.141.8
Auto12.1
Teleop22.9
End7.2
blue by 7.7
2412
#11
49.80.5
47.848.3
Auto12.4
Teleop29.1
End7.3