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Red168
746155.2
491539.1
366357.8
Blue167
214752.7
299048.9
48851.7
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions160155120140180200168167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.80.4
56.957.3
Auto14.9
Teleop34.3
End8.4
red by 5.1
2147
#26
52.70.5
51.151.6
Auto12.5
Teleop31.8
End7.9
Second
7461
#19
55.20.4
54.354.7
Auto15.2
Teleop32.4
End6.0
red by 3.5
488
#7
51.70.5
50.150.6
Auto14.1
Teleop27.1
End9.7
Third
4915
#38
39.10.4
38.238.6
Auto9.7
Teleop19.7
End10.1
blue by 9.8
2990
#18
48.90.5
47.347.8
Auto13.2
Teleop26.7
End8.4