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Red135
592033.0
293059.7
131864.8
Blue138
468249.6
154048.6
142548.6
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions167150100120140160180200220135138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.80.4
65.064.5
Auto16.1
Teleop39.2
End7.9
red by 15.2
49.60.1
49.549.3
Auto15.3
Teleop26.7
End7.3
Second
2930
#16
59.70.4
59.959.4
Auto15.7
Teleop35.6
End7.5
red by 11.1
1540
#23
48.60.1
48.548.3
Auto13.5
Teleop26.2
End8.6
Third
5920
#45
33.00.4
33.533.0
Auto6.5
Teleop19.8
End6.9
blue by 15.5
1425
#22
48.60.1
48.448.3
Auto15.0
Teleop24.7
End7.8