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Red136
399642.3
561828.0
399046.6
Blue108
311736.1
815227.7
552833.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12798406080140160180200136108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.60.3
46.246.6
Auto12.6
Teleop27.1
End6.9
red by 10.5
36.10.2
35.635.7
Auto7.9
Teleop19.2
End9.1
Second
42.30.5
41.742.2
Auto12.0
Teleop20.6
End9.7
red by 8.7
5528
#19
33.60.2
33.033.2
Auto13.3
Teleop11.9
End8.3
Third
5618
#15
28.00.5
27.427.9
Auto5.8
Teleop13.8
End8.3
red by 0.3
8152
#16
27.70.2
26.927.1
Auto8.8
Teleop10.1
End8.8