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Red119
690728.3
355044.2
398635.8
Blue123
311736.1
815227.7
552833.6
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11898406080140160180200119123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.20.1
44.144.2
Auto12.2
Teleop23.1
End8.9
red by 8.1
36.10.4
35.235.6
Auto7.9
Teleop19.2
End9.1
Second
3986
#24
35.80.2
35.735.8
Auto9.7
Teleop19.5
End6.6
red by 2.2
5528
#19
33.60.4
32.633.0
Auto13.3
Teleop11.9
End8.3
Third
6907
#20
28.30.2
28.128.3
Auto6.2
Teleop14.8
End7.2
red by 0.6
8152
#16
27.70.6
26.426.9
Auto8.8
Teleop10.1
End8.8