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Red71
398523.1
495526.4
222031.4
Blue116
311736.1
815227.7
552833.6
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions861006012014016071116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2220
#11
31.40.4
31.731.4
Auto11.2
Teleop13.8
End6.4
blue by 4.8
36.10.5
34.635.2
Auto7.9
Teleop19.2
End9.1
Second
26.40.5
26.926.4
Auto9.4
Teleop9.2
End7.7
blue by 7.2
5528
#19
33.60.5
32.132.6
Auto13.3
Teleop11.9
End8.3
Third
3985
#31
23.10.5
23.623.1
Auto6.1
Teleop9.6
End7.5
blue by 4.5
8152
#16
27.70.7
25.726.4
Auto8.8
Teleop10.1
End8.8