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Red96
692927.7
495226.5
879017.9
Blue116
922019.6
398635.8
311736.1
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6370408010096116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6929
#10
27.72.3
24.026.4
Auto10.6
Teleop9.1
End8.1
blue by 8.4
36.13.4
21.024.4
Auto7.9
Teleop19.2
End9.1
Second
4952
#25
26.52.3
18.721.0
Auto8.5
Teleop12.3
End5.7
blue by 9.3
3986
#24
35.85.1
25.730.8
Auto9.7
Teleop19.5
End6.6
Third
8790
#37
17.92.3
17.319.6
Auto6.8
Teleop7.0
End4.1
blue by 1.6
9220
#22
19.65.1
18.223.3
Auto7.1
Teleop6.9
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
37%Activation oddsEarned38%Activation oddsEarned