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Red108
543941.5
813225.8
770018.1
Blue61
858514.0
806726.8
815227.7
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6962304050809010011010861

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.54.9
23.828.7
Auto12.0
Teleop21.8
End7.7
red by 13.8
8152
#16
27.71.4
20.619.2
Auto8.8
Teleop10.1
End8.8
Second
8132
#18
25.84.9
18.723.6
Auto9.6
Teleop10.2
End6.0
blue by 1.0
8067
#17
26.81.4
18.717.2
Auto7.9
Teleop12.7
End6.3
Third
7700
#42
18.14.9
21.126.0
Auto3.1
Teleop9.1
End5.9
red by 4.1
8585
#43
14.01.4
19.418.0
Auto5.2
Teleop7.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsEarned4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
27%Activation oddsMissed34%Activation oddsMissed