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Red127
399046.6
690728.3
543941.5
Blue113
552833.6
311736.1
355044.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions110102050150200250300127113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.61.7
42.344.0
Auto12.6
Teleop27.1
End6.9
red by 2.4
44.21.1
39.941.0
Auto12.2
Teleop23.1
End8.9
Second
41.52.8
34.036.8
Auto12.0
Teleop21.8
End7.7
red by 5.4
36.11.1
27.628.7
Auto7.9
Teleop19.2
End9.1
Third
6907
#20
28.32.8
25.728.5
Auto6.2
Teleop14.8
End7.2
blue by 5.3
5528
#19
33.61.1
28.930.0
Auto13.3
Teleop11.9
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
19%Sustainability oddsEarned5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
71%Activation oddsEarned73%Activation oddsEarned