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Red56
770018.1
544014.2
398635.8
Blue86
336028.5
494724.1
338615.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7472204060801001205686

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3986
#24
35.81.5
31.930.4
Auto9.7
Teleop19.5
End6.6
red by 7.3
3360
#14
28.51.2
28.529.7
Auto7.3
Teleop12.7
End8.5
Second
7700
#42
18.11.5
21.620.1
Auto3.1
Teleop9.1
End5.9
blue by 6.0
4947
#26
24.12.0
25.327.3
Auto5.2
Teleop15.9
End3.0
Third
5440
#45
14.21.5
16.014.5
Auto6.8
Teleop4.4
End3.0
blue by 1.7
3386
#27
15.92.0
14.016.0
Auto4.0
Teleop5.8
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
30%Activation oddsMissed48%Activation oddsEarned