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Red40
494724.1
544319.7
544014.2
Blue110
543941.5
923417.7
495526.4
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions668020406010012040110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4947
#26
24.13.2
27.324.1
Auto5.2
Teleop15.9
End3.0
blue by 17.4
41.53.5
36.840.3
Auto12.0
Teleop21.8
End7.7
Second
5443
#33
19.73.2
22.118.9
Auto5.3
Teleop9.2
End5.1
blue by 6.7
26.43.5
23.427.0
Auto9.4
Teleop9.2
End7.7
Third
5440
#45
14.23.2
14.511.3
Auto6.8
Teleop4.4
End3.0
blue by 3.5
9234
#35
17.73.5
12.816.4
Auto5.7
Teleop6.8
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed9%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
49%Activation oddsMissed62%Activation oddsEarned