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Red125
910229.1
760534.8
311736.1
Blue73
687217.3
552833.6
806726.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions927540608010012014012573

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.12.4
28.731.1
Auto7.9
Teleop19.2
End9.1
red by 2.5
5528
#19
33.60.0
30.030.1
Auto13.3
Teleop11.9
End8.3
Second
34.84.0
31.735.8
Auto10.7
Teleop15.1
End9.1
red by 8.0
8067
#17
26.80.1
25.325.3
Auto7.9
Teleop12.7
End6.3
Third
29.14.0
23.427.4
Auto4.5
Teleop17.0
End7.5
red by 11.8
6872
#39
17.30.1
17.017.1
Auto3.9
Teleop9.9
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsEarned3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
67%Activation oddsEarned43%Activation oddsMissed