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Red52
907619.2
543941.5
760534.8
Blue94
398523.1
495526.4
222031.4
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1108540601001201401601805294

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.51.4
42.941.5
Auto12.0
Teleop21.8
End7.7
red by 10.1
2220
#11
31.40.2
31.931.7
Auto11.2
Teleop13.8
End6.4
Second
34.81.4
36.334.8
Auto10.7
Teleop15.1
End9.1
red by 8.5
26.40.3
27.126.9
Auto9.4
Teleop9.2
End7.7
Third
9076
#13
19.21.4
20.719.2
Auto3.4
Teleop10.8
End5.0
blue by 3.9
3985
#31
23.10.3
23.923.6
Auto6.1
Teleop9.6
End7.5