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Red122
552833.6
815227.7
311736.1
Blue87
494724.1
591031.6
544319.7
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1007620406012014016018012287

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.10.6
34.034.6
Auto7.9
Teleop19.2
End9.1
red by 4.6
31.60.4
31.231.6
Auto7.8
Teleop13.6
End10.1
Second
5528
#19
33.60.6
31.532.1
Auto13.3
Teleop11.9
End8.3
red by 9.5
4947
#26
24.10.4
23.724.1
Auto5.2
Teleop15.9
End3.0
Third
8152
#16
27.70.8
24.925.7
Auto8.8
Teleop10.1
End8.8
red by 8.0
5443
#33
19.70.4
19.319.7
Auto5.3
Teleop9.2
End5.1