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Red132
398635.8
355044.2
690728.3
Blue110
760534.8
543941.5
354423.7
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11710880100140160132110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.20.3
44.244.5
Auto12.2
Teleop23.1
End8.9
red by 2.7
41.50.2
42.742.9
Auto12.0
Teleop21.8
End7.7
Second
3986
#24
35.80.4
35.836.2
Auto9.7
Teleop19.5
End6.6
red by 1.0
34.80.2
36.036.3
Auto10.7
Teleop15.1
End9.1
Third
6907
#20
28.30.4
28.228.7
Auto6.2
Teleop14.8
End7.2
red by 4.6
3544
#28
23.70.2
23.423.7
Auto7.9
Teleop11.4
End4.4